I still disagree, remember my use case is for a slowly rotating tire. In a contrived example to illustrate my point:
- Take a very compliant tire with no air in it
- I assert it would be sitting on the wheel
- The center of rotation is effectively half the diameter of the wheel since the tire sidewall is no longer contributing to height
- Circumference now is a meaningless term since its not a circle anymore
- We can now debate what is the perimeter of this configuration. My engineering intuition tells me its less that the inflated circumference (any opinions out there?) If that is the case, seems to me that previously stated rationale breaks down.
- I don’t think there is “Conservation of Circumferential Length” in play in my example!

Standing by for a rebuttal!
I've been block sanding and welding holes. Sorry for the delay.
Let's take your example.
Compliant tire with no air in it. -this will be the most critical part of your assumption...
I assert it would be sitting on the wheel. - well, no...not if your first assumption is correct. it will be hanging in space, either from a boundary layer of air, or from elastic compressive forces of the squished sidewall. So it will certainly be near the wheel, but it won't be mechanically coupled to the wheel.
The center of rotation is half the diameter of the wheel, since the sidewall is no longer contributing to height. - you seen to be stuck on the height thing. But there is no center of rotation as it pertains to the tread belt. Maybe it would be more clear if you imagine a Morse type steel timing chain, or a solid rubber belt of any kind. If you mark a line on the belt, and then push the belt along the surface until the line comes back, the belt will have travelled a distance equal to the length of the belt or 1 perimeter. If the belt is round, then that distance is 1 circumference. Circumference is never meaningless, because we only used circumference to simplify the math. The figure of merit was always perimeter. As soon as the belt is no longer perfectly round, the math gets really hard. Belt length is easy when it is flat and when it is a circle. Anything in the middle is complex.
We can debate the complexity of the deformed shape all you want. Given that "my engineering intuition" is a oxymoron, I'm going to translate that to "my engineering assessment" Then I'll make some kind of wisecrack about public school. There's probably some Engineer from Purdue lurking out there too. The fact remains that my original presumption was that the radial ply steel belts were in-compressible in the tangential direction. Thus creating a perfectly inelastic compressive member. I believe that I used "hula-hoop." But a stiff leather belt will do the trick.
So My base assumption in the hypothesis is that you have a FIXED length perimeter. It is convenient to assume that it is always circular, but that is irrlelvant to the model. But yes, a circular ring of fixed circumference, connected to a floating hub via a "compliant tire." 1 revolution of the ring is equal to one revolution of the hub, and the hub always coincides with a line perpindicular to the point of tangency. For every revolution of the ring, the hub rotates 1 revolution, and translates the exact same distance as the ring perimeter.
I think if your model is fine. Just assume the perimeter is conserved, and you will be fine.