Might also depend on what type of muffler you’re going to use. But maybe not much given the stock manifolds and cam.
Generally speaking, I would do at least 2 1/4 from the manifolds to the convergence. Then 2 1/2 the rest of the way, using either a straight through or other performance type (but quiet-ish) muffler. If you’re going for quiet, then there’s really not much difference and the same recommendation would work.
No real reason to go 3 inch out for a stock explorer engine unless you’re trying to give it more rumble, maybe more drone, and perhaps gain a tiny bit at full throttle at 5000 RPM?
If you’re hoping to be able to rev it up to the maximum then a straight through muffler and 3 inch pipe going out the back might help.
I say “might“ because your stock exhaust manifolds will be the primary restriction.
If you want to maximize flow throughout, then yes, 2 1/2 from the exhaust manifolds to the merge and then 3” the rest of the way are pretty much guaranteed to give you more flow than your engine would ever ever need.
Maybe too much at the expense of some off idle performance, depending upon the computer tune.
Either some Dynomax, super turbos, or ultra flows, should give you good performance with relatively quiet sound. The flow master will have that nice tone and depending on which one you get, could be quiet or noisy. A straight through Magnaflow’s type or similar. Will give you plenty of breathing, but Again, depending on which model could be too noisy.
So what is it you’re looking for performance wise?